Yup, another Predictions posting, but with not much happening in H-Town, this is about all there is to write about. I really DON'T want to talk about the whole Bagwell thing, because it is way too depressing. So I give you my 2006 season NL central division predictions:
1) St. Louis Cardinals:
They still are the best, regardless of their loses this offseason. Remember, Scott Rolen was missing from their lineup most of last season. (Did you notice?) With Poo-holes, Rolen, Edmounds and Eckstein, they still have a powerful lineup. And the one-two punch of Carpenter-Mulder is effective too. They have a good close in Izzy, and are a very well rounded ballclub. I don't see them winning 100 games though. Minus Walker, Reggie Sanders, and Matt Morris, the Cardinals aren't as dangerous at they were, and I do expect a tighter race for the NL Central Crown. Record: 92-70.
2) Houston Astros:
The good guys hold onto second place this season. Roger Clemens will come back, and the big three of Clemens, Oswalt and Pettitte will be very effective. I also look for Backe to make big strides this year and prove to us that he is a consistant starter. Check out the fifth spot in the rotation. It may be Wandy Rodriguez, but Bucholtz, Hirsch, or Nieve may be given a chance to show their stuff. The offense should be even better. Jason Lane has a year under his belt. So does Willy T, if he plays. And Preston Wilson, the Astros biggest offseason acquisition should add some timely hits to boost the offense. If Bagwell plays, he could also chip in with 20 or so home runs. The offense will be fine. Our bullpen also looks good, with the other big three of Qualls, Wheeler and Lidge closing out games. However, we won't be able to win the division, much due to a slow start at the beginning of the season. Record: 90-72
3) Chicago Cubs:
The Cubs did a lot this offseason. They got Jacque Jones, and Juan Pierre to fill holes in the outfield. They got bullpen help in Howry and Eyre. They are a better rounded team, but I put them in third mostly because of three things. 1) Injuries. They have a lot of injury prone players (i.e. Mark Prior, Kerry Wood, Aramis Ramirez, to name a few) who have big impacts when they don't play. If these players can't play regularly, then the Cubs won't go anywhere. 2) Derrek Lee isn't going to hit 40+ HR's and have 120 RBI. He had a great season last year, but for a career .260 guy, I don't think he will be hitting close to last year's numbers. He did taper off at the end of last season. Expect 30 or so home runs out of Lee, but not 40. 3) No good closer. The Cubs don't have a reliable closer to finish games. And in the majors, if you don't have a good closer, then you aren't going to be winning any championships. Record: 82-80.
4) Milwaukee Brewers:
The Brew Crew is on it's way up. They won't be contenders this year, much due tot he fact that Prince Fielder and Rickie Weeks still have to do some learning, but the Brewers are looking up. They have the right pieces. Carlos Lee provides great power numbers. Geoff Jenkins and Brady Clark are also great players and help round up one of the better outfields in the majors. The Brewers also have a decent rotation with Ben Sheets, Chris Capuano, and Doug Davis. If Ben Sheets stays healthy, then look for the Brewers to do all right. The bullpen has a good closer in Derrick Turnbow. Like I said, they have all the right pieces. But it's just a matter of filling all small holes and getting the young guys some playing time and experience. Record: 79-83.
5) Pittsburgh Pirates
The Pirates had a busy offseason, acquiring some parts that bring them up from the bottom of the Central. They have Jeromy Burnitz, a powerful outfielder. They got Sean Casey, who hits for high average to play first. Add that with Jason Bay, their all-star outfielder, and they don't look too bad. Their staff is anchored by Zack Duke, a young guy who had a tremendous season for the Bucs last year. The Pirates have young talent in Doumit and Jack Wilson. They have a lot of potential. However, they aren't ready to become contenders. They still have some holes to fill, especially in the bullpen and in the starting staff. Look for some progress. Record: 70-92.
6) Cincinnatti Reds:
The new bottom dwellers, the Reds have a lot of problems. They do have new management, and that may mean some changes, but not right now. They have some good building blocks with Adam Dunn,and Aaron Harang, but they have a large number of holes in the starting staff, the bullpen, etc. It could be a long season for the Reds. Record 63-99.
There you go. Leave me with any comments or thoughts you have on my predictions. Be happy to leave your own!
LETS GO 'STROS!